Non-Contaminating Historical Buffers

Maintainers hate black-box AI that cannot be certified. DefLog utilizes transparent, deterministic statistics.

A rolling 50-sample buffer computes dynamic sample mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ). Crucially, anomalous readings are isolated from the buffer so sudden excursions cannot inflate variance or mask pending failure.

3-Interval Streak Suppression

Isolated sensor spikes (from electrical transients or turbulent gusts) are logged but suppressed.

Work-order dispatch requires 3 consecutive intervals exceeding μ + 3σ, guaranteeing zero false alarms on nominal Gaussian flight data while instantly flagging true mechanical breakdown.

Direct Requisition Line Items

The instant critical risk exceeds 0.85, DefLog synthesizes a complete Defense Procurement Work Order JSON:

• CAGE Code: Pratt & Whitney (`06141`) / Parker Aerospace (`97499`).
• NSNs: Cylindrical roller bearings, fluorocarbon O-rings, MIL-PRF-23699 turbine oil.
• Dispatch Urgency: IPD-01 Emergency Safety Grounding vs. IPD-02 Expedite.

Multi-Parameter Root-Cause Diagnosis

Couples thermal and vibration channels with hydraulic pressure drops to identify the exact physical failure mode:

Coupled Failure: Bearing raceway spalling with thermal friction runaway.

High-Frequency Fatigue: Mechanical imbalance or rotor structural eccentricity.

Revenue Streams

• Per-Tail SaaS Subscription: $4,500 / monitored aircraft / year ($1,000 / ground combat vehicle).
• Enterprise Program License: $750,000 / year per Program Office (PEO Aviation).
• OEM Integration & Catalog Mapping: $250,000 one-time setup fee per prime contractor.

Why Defense Primes Buy (PBL Contracts)

Under Performance-Based Logistics (PBL) contracts, defense primes (Lockheed, RTX, General Dynamics) are paid for fleet availability. If an engine blows, the prime pays the overhaul cost.

DefLog directly protects prime contractor profit margins by catching failure 72 hours before catastrophic breakdown.

Financial Trajectory Summary

• Year 1: $1.45M Revenue | +$120K EBITDA (Profitable Y1).
• Year 2: $4.85M Revenue | +$2.15M EBITDA (3 enterprise logos).
• Year 3: $12.40M Revenue | +$7.20M EBITDA (Fleet expansion).
• Year 4: $28.50M Revenue | +$18.10M EBITDA.
• Year 5: $56.20M Revenue | +$37.80M EBITDA.

Software Capital Efficiency

Gross Margin: 91.5% in Y1, stabilizing at 89.5% at scale.

Low Compute Marginal Cost: Standalone FastAPI container requiring zero cloud GPU infrastructure; executes on edge or local base servers.

Outright IP Acquisition Option

Standalone Buyout Band: $5.8M – $8.5M (4x–6x Y1 ARR, typical for ready-to-deploy defense logistics software).

Strategic Buyer Advantage: Acquirer can patent the predict-to-procure coupling mechanism and resell directly to DoD primes or commercial airlines.

Seed Growth Financing

Seed Raise Ask: $2.5M on a post-money SAFE ($12M cap).

Use of Funds: FedRAMP / IL5 cybersecurity accreditation, connectors for GCSS-Army / SAP HANA, and direct DoD sales pipeline.